Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.090982 0.101097 0.111464 0.122857 0.134999 0.147526 0.161403
2025-02-09 0.073952 0.089013 0.105234 0.123883 0.144609 0.166822 0.192312
2025-02-16 0.060523 0.078447 0.098636 0.122766 0.150532 0.181208 0.217387
2025-02-23 0.054475 0.075080 0.099149 0.128803 0.163834 0.203410 0.251011
2025-03-02 0.049317 0.071920 0.099201 0.133718 0.175416 0.223407 0.282062
2025-03-09 0.041731 0.064793 0.093638 0.131171 0.177567 0.231976 0.299537
2025-03-16 0.034973 0.057932 0.087704 0.127523 0.177839 0.237888 0.313551
2025-03-23 0.032401 0.056374 0.088307 0.131875 0.187795 0.255353 0.341338
2025-03-30 0.029572 0.054131 0.087747 0.134527 0.195489 0.270010 0.365768
2025-04-06 0.027601 0.052900 0.088382 0.138616 0.204940 0.286829 0.392902
2025-04-13 0.024541 0.049716 0.086060 0.138552 0.208899 0.296737 0.411541
2025-04-20 0.024288 0.050829 0.089788 0.146698 0.223602 0.320227 0.447138
2025-04-27 0.021845 0.048377 0.088452 0.148122 0.229880 0.333661 0.471073
2025-05-04 0.019960 0.046676 0.088133 0.150958 0.238130 0.349805 0.498734
2025-05-11 0.017407 0.043540 0.085442 0.150279 0.241570 0.359768 0.518688
2025-05-18 0.016889 0.043951 0.088167 0.157397 0.255673 0.383660 0.556517
2025-05-25 0.016108 0.043779 0.089925 0.163089 0.267850 0.405122 0.591387
2025-06-01 0.013704 0.040214 0.086020 0.160208 0.267979 0.410634 0.605696
2025-06-08 0.011368 0.036418 0.081437 0.156049 0.266104 0.413340 0.616275
2025-06-15 0.010814 0.036247 0.082871 0.161027 0.277170 0.433346 0.649429
2025-06-22 0.009995 0.035391 0.083066 0.164055 0.285454 0.449666 0.677864
2025-06-29 0.009485 0.035162 0.084314 0.168719 0.296117 0.469258 0.710702
2025-07-06 0.008356 0.033330 0.082610 0.168646 0.299878 0.479496 0.731279